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In the November 8, 2018 WASDE the USDA lowered Iowa corn yield to 198.0 bushels per acre.
The highest estimate for Iowa corn yield was the September 12th WASDE at 206.0 bushels per acre.
What did the USDA miss?
The Wheat Quality Council toured ND July 24-26th 2018 and projected Spring Wheat yield at 41.1 bpa.
However, based on historical and in-season NDVI data, an alternative scenario was evolving.